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Top economist reveals his personal investment strategy on the FT’s Money Clinic podcast
Addition of 336,000 roles by employers masks complex news for workers, Federal Reserve, bonds and equities
One in five borrowers owes at least $1,000 a month as vehicle costs remain elevated
Market odds of another increase by year-end drop to 30% as bond yields surge
The first of three collaborations with historian Adam Tooze
Errors in hitting central bank goals are likely to be asymmetric with a drift upwards that leads to recession
Data helps steady bond markets and signals prospect of end to interest rate rises on both sides of Atlantic
Also in this newsletter: Boost for UK economy, Washington braces for shutdown, science round-up
And copper revisited
Risk of government shutdown adds to concerns that American consumer is about to crack
Plus, growth stocks, rates and pricing power
Higher for longer is the right balance, for now
New projections and remarks from chair Jay Powell signal no near-term relief from elevated borrowing costs
Two-year Treasury yield hits highest level since 2006 after hawkish projections from US central bank
What can we predict?
Expected policy pause would come amid mixed signals on economy
News you can use from the IMF
And waiting on wage growth
And the Treasury basis trade scare story
August uptick leaves economists asking if earlier signs of cooling demand were just a blip
US inflation rises in August as petrol prices jump
Consumer price index increases at annualised rate of 3.7% but ‘core’ reading moderates
Economist, obsolete thyself
Hawkish Dallas president says another skip ‘would be appropriate’ as US inflation cools
There is some hope that remaining ‘excess savings’ can prevent a sudden cut in spending
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